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Historical Explorer
Historical replay
RISE Festival
October 5, 2025 • Jean, NV
Rewind a published prediction snapshot and line it up against the actual setlist for the selected show date. This is the main archive workflow for understanding where each model was early, late, or exactly right.
Top prediction
Hot Tea
4 show gap • snapshot Oct 5, 7:01 PM UTC
Hit rate
2/10
Top-10 calls found in the actual setlist
2025-10-05
Prediction Replay
Snapshot
Oct 5, 7:01 PM UTC
Selected model
Notebook
Setlist rows
5
| Rank | Song | Gap | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hot Tea | 4 shows | |
| 2 | Tumble | 10 shows | |
| 3 | Echo of a Rose | 5 shows | |
| 4 | Slow Ready | 8 shows | |
| 5 | Creatures | 6 shows |
Hot Tea
4 shows ago
Tumble
10 shows ago
Echo of a Rose
5 shows ago
Slow Ready
8 shows ago
Creatures
6 shows ago
| Rank | Song | Gap | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Drive | 6 shows | |
| 7 | The Empress Of Organos | 5 shows | |
| 8 | Arrow | 4 shows | |
| 9 | Your Direction | 5 shows | |
| 10 | A Western Sun | 4 shows | |
| 11 | Turned Clouds | 5 shows | |
| 12 | Mr. Action | 23 shows | |
| 13 | Feel It Now | 5 shows | |
| 14 | Iguana Song | 6 shows | |
| 15 | Dr. Darkness | 4 shows |
Drive
6 shows ago
The Empress Of Organos
5 shows ago
Arrow
4 shows ago
Your Direction
5 shows ago
A Western Sun
4 shows ago
Turned Clouds
5 shows ago
Mr. Action
23 shows ago
Feel It Now
5 shows ago
Iguana Song
6 shows ago
Dr. Darkness
4 shows ago
50 songs ranked · Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes
23 snapshots
Archive Date Rail
Pick a prediction date to keep the expected songs and the actual setlist locked to the same show. Latest snapshots stay at the top.
Replay read
Bust-out watch: Mr. Action, One In, One Out, Factory Fiction
2025-10-05
Actual Setlist
Result
Slow Ready, Creatures landed in the actual setlist.
What changed
Replay Notes
Current read
Frequency-based model focused on songs active in the recent rotation while excluding the last three shows.
Best call
Slow Ready was both forecast and played.
Coverage
50 predicted songs available for replay across 23 archived snapshots.