Model Recall

Historical Performance

Rolling accuracy

Goose performance ledger

Notebook • last 20 scored shows

Track how often the current model landed songs inside the Top 10, Top 25, and Top 50 windows. The goal here is fast read quality, not exhaustive backtest detail.

Latest scored show

Dec 13, 2025

Amica Mutual Pavilion

Top 10 recall 29.4%

Avg Top 10

23.2%

Quick-hit prediction quality for the highest-confidence slice.

Avg Top 25

39.9%

Broader board coverage across the mid-ranked prediction set.

Avg Top 50

55.1%

Long-tail hit rate across the full recommendation window.

Trend

Performance Read

Recent window

27.0%

Last five scored shows

Prior window

18.1%

Previous five scored shows

Delta

+8.9 pts

Recent recall is improving.

Peak recall

Best Night

Oct 5, 2025

RISE Festival

Top 10 recall 40.0%

Use this as the fast benchmark for the current model and band pair.

Per-show ledger

Recent Accuracy Rows

Show DateVenueTop 10Top 25Top 50
2025-12-13Amica Mutual Pavilion29.4%35.3%52.9%
2025-12-12Amica Mutual Pavilion17.6%29.4%35.3%
2025-12-08Grand Ballroom at Manhattan Center25.0%43.8%68.8%
2025-11-02Spirit of the Suwannee Music Park23.1%30.8%38.5%
2025-10-05RISE Festival40.0%40.0%40.0%
2025-10-04Mann Center for the Performing Arts23.1%61.5%69.2%
2025-10-03Allianz Amphitheater at Riverfront26.7%33.3%53.3%
2025-10-02Allianz Amphitheater at Riverfront20.0%66.7%73.3%
2025-09-30Kemba Live! Outdoors6.7%33.3%73.3%
2025-09-28The Revelry14.3%28.6%42.9%
2025-09-27PNC Music Pavilion23.1%30.8%30.8%
2025-09-26Ameris Bank Amphitheatre30.8%53.8%84.6%
2025-09-24Louisville Palace Theatre16.7%33.3%75.0%
2025-09-23Louisville Palace Theatre26.7%46.7%60.0%
2025-09-20Huntingon Bank Pavilion at Northerly Island21.4%42.9%64.3%
2025-09-19Michigan Lottery Amphitheatre at Freedom Hill26.7%46.7%73.3%
2025-09-17Kohl Center14.3%42.9%42.9%
2025-09-14Waterfront Park38.5%46.2%61.5%
2025-09-12Harvest Music Festival27.3%27.3%36.4%
2025-08-31The Gorge Amphitheatre12.5%25.0%25.0%