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Historical replay
Grand Ballroom at Manhattan Center
December 8, 2025 • New York, NY
Rewind a published prediction snapshot and line it up against the actual setlist for the selected show date. This is the main archive workflow for understanding where each model was early, late, or exactly right.
Top prediction
Animal
5 show gap • snapshot Dec 9, 7:05 PM UTC
Hit rate
4/10
Top-10 calls found in the actual setlist
2025-12-08
Prediction Replay
Snapshot
Dec 9, 7:05 PM UTC
Selected model
Notebook
Setlist rows
17
| Rank | Song | Gap | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Animal | 5 shows | |
| 2 | Hot Love & The Lazy Poet | 4 shows | |
| 3 | Arcadia | 4 shows | |
| 4 | Flodown | 4 shows | |
| 5 | Atlas Dogs | 5 shows |
Animal
5 shows ago
Hot Love & The Lazy Poet
4 shows ago
Arcadia
4 shows ago
Flodown
4 shows ago
Atlas Dogs
5 shows ago
| Rank | Song | Gap | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Drive | 8 shows | |
| 7 | Echo of a Rose | 7 shows | |
| 8 | Your Direction | 7 shows | |
| 9 | All I Need | 5 shows | |
| 10 | Draconian Meter Maid | 5 shows | |
| 11 | Everything Must Go | 5 shows | |
| 12 | The Empress Of Organos | 7 shows | |
| 13 | A Western Sun | 6 shows | |
| 14 | So Ready | 4 shows | |
| 15 | Feel It Now | 7 shows |
Drive
8 shows ago
Echo of a Rose
7 shows ago
Your Direction
7 shows ago
All I Need
5 shows ago
Draconian Meter Maid
5 shows ago
Everything Must Go
5 shows ago
The Empress Of Organos
7 shows ago
A Western Sun
6 shows ago
So Ready
4 shows ago
Feel It Now
7 shows ago
50 songs ranked · Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes
23 snapshots
Archive Date Rail
Pick a prediction date to keep the expected songs and the actual setlist locked to the same show. Latest snapshots stay at the top.
Replay read
Bust-out watch: Mr. Action, One In, One Out, Factory Fiction
2025-12-08
Actual Setlist
Result
Hot Love & The Lazy Poet, Arcadia, Drive, All I Need landed in the actual setlist.
What changed
Replay Notes
Current read
Frequency-based model focused on songs active in the recent rotation while excluding the last three shows.
Best call
Hot Love & The Lazy Poet was both forecast and played.
Coverage
50 predicted songs available for replay across 23 archived snapshots.