Model Recall

Historical Performance

Rolling accuracy

Goose performance ledger

CK+ • last 20 scored shows

Track how often the current model landed songs inside the Top 10, Top 25, and Top 50 windows. The goal here is fast read quality, not exhaustive backtest detail.

Latest scored show

Dec 13, 2025

Amica Mutual Pavilion

Top 10 recall 11.8%

Avg Top 10

10.6%

Quick-hit prediction quality for the highest-confidence slice.

Avg Top 25

25.9%

Broader board coverage across the mid-ranked prediction set.

Avg Top 50

51.5%

Long-tail hit rate across the full recommendation window.

Trend

Performance Read

Recent window

9.1%

Last five scored shows

Prior window

11.3%

Previous five scored shows

Delta

-2.2 pts

Recent recall has slipped versus the prior window.

Peak recall

Best Night

Sep 23, 2025

Louisville Palace Theatre

Top 10 recall 26.7%

Use this as the fast benchmark for the current model and band pair.

Per-show ledger

Recent Accuracy Rows

Show DateVenueTop 10Top 25Top 50
2025-12-13Amica Mutual Pavilion11.8%17.6%41.2%
2025-12-12Amica Mutual Pavilion5.9%29.4%52.9%
2025-12-08Grand Ballroom at Manhattan Center12.5%31.3%62.5%
2025-11-02Spirit of the Suwannee Music Park15.4%23.1%46.2%
2025-10-05RISE Festival0.0%20.0%40.0%
2025-10-04Mann Center for the Performing Arts23.1%46.2%69.2%
2025-10-03Allianz Amphitheater at Riverfront6.7%26.7%66.7%
2025-10-02Allianz Amphitheater at Riverfront20.0%40.0%66.7%
2025-09-30Kemba Live! Outdoors6.7%33.3%66.7%
2025-09-28The Revelry0.0%7.1%35.7%
2025-09-27PNC Music Pavilion7.7%7.7%46.2%
2025-09-26Ameris Bank Amphitheatre23.1%46.2%76.9%
2025-09-24Louisville Palace Theatre8.3%25.0%41.7%
2025-09-23Louisville Palace Theatre26.7%46.7%60.0%
2025-09-20Huntingon Bank Pavilion at Northerly Island7.1%21.4%42.9%
2025-09-19Michigan Lottery Amphitheatre at Freedom Hill20.0%33.3%60.0%
2025-09-17Kohl Center0.0%14.3%42.9%
2025-09-14Waterfront Park7.7%30.8%46.2%
2025-09-12Harvest Music Festival9.1%18.2%27.3%
2025-08-31The Gorge Amphitheatre0.0%0.0%37.5%