Model Recall

Historical Performance

Rolling accuracy

Umphrey's McGee performance ledger

CK+ • last 20 scored shows

Track how often the current model landed songs inside the Top 10, Top 25, and Top 50 windows. The goal here is fast read quality, not exhaustive backtest detail.

Latest scored show

Mar 19, 2026

Revolution Hall

Top 10 recall 6.7%

Avg Top 10

1.3%

Quick-hit prediction quality for the highest-confidence slice.

Avg Top 25

10.9%

Broader board coverage across the mid-ranked prediction set.

Avg Top 50

31.3%

Long-tail hit rate across the full recommendation window.

Trend

Performance Read

Recent window

4.2%

Last five scored shows

Prior window

0.0%

Previous five scored shows

Delta

+4.2 pts

Recent recall is improving.

Peak recall

Best Night

Mar 17, 2026

Revolution Hall

Top 10 recall 7.1%

Use this as the fast benchmark for the current model and band pair.

Per-show ledger

Recent Accuracy Rows

Show DateVenueTop 10Top 25Top 50
2026-03-19Revolution Hall6.7%6.7%20.0%
2026-03-17Revolution Hall7.1%14.3%42.9%
2026-03-14Harrah's Lake Tahoe South Shore Room0.0%7.1%35.7%
2026-03-13The Guild Theatre0.0%15.4%30.8%
2026-03-12The Regent Theatre7.1%7.1%21.4%
2026-03-11Belly Up Tavern0.0%0.0%35.7%
2026-03-10Belly Up Tavern0.0%7.1%14.3%
2026-02-26Spirit of the Suwannee Music Park0.0%0.0%0.0%
2026-02-159:30 Club0.0%5.0%50.0%
2026-02-149:30 Club0.0%26.7%46.7%
2026-02-13The Fillmore0.0%0.0%26.7%
2026-02-12Citizens House of Blues Boston0.0%17.6%41.2%
2026-02-11State Theatre0.0%12.5%25.0%
2026-02-07The Capitol Theatre0.0%25.0%43.8%
2026-02-06Infinity Music Hall - Hartford0.0%6.7%33.3%
2026-02-05Empire Live5.9%17.6%52.9%
2026-02-04Mayo Performing Arts Center0.0%11.8%23.5%
2026-02-01The Town Ballroom0.0%12.5%31.3%
2026-01-31The Fillmore0.0%18.8%37.5%
2026-01-30The Andrew J Brady Music Center0.0%6.7%13.3%