Model Recall

Historical Performance

Rolling accuracy

Billy Strings performance ledger

Notebook • last 20 scored shows

Track how often the current model landed songs inside the Top 10, Top 25, and Top 50 windows. The goal here is fast read quality, not exhaustive backtest detail.

Latest scored show

Feb 22, 2026

Ryman Auditorium

Top 10 recall 4.8%

Avg Top 10

11.0%

Quick-hit prediction quality for the highest-confidence slice.

Avg Top 25

23.0%

Broader board coverage across the mid-ranked prediction set.

Avg Top 50

35.0%

Long-tail hit rate across the full recommendation window.

Trend

Performance Read

Recent window

13.9%

Last five scored shows

Prior window

9.1%

Previous five scored shows

Delta

+4.8 pts

Recent recall is improving.

Peak recall

Best Night

Dec 12, 2025

Dickies Arena

Top 10 recall 30.4%

Use this as the fast benchmark for the current model and band pair.

Per-show ledger

Recent Accuracy Rows

Show DateVenueTop 10Top 25Top 50
2026-02-22Ryman Auditorium4.8%28.6%38.1%
2026-02-21Bridgestone Arena19.0%38.1%47.6%
2026-02-20Bridgestone Arena21.7%34.8%52.2%
2026-02-14Harrah's Cherokee Center8.0%12.0%12.0%
2026-02-13Harrah's Cherokee Center16.0%32.0%44.0%
2026-02-11Harrah's Cherokee Center4.3%21.7%52.2%
2026-02-10Harrah's Cherokee Center24.0%44.0%52.0%
2026-02-07Akins Ford Arena4.3%8.7%21.7%
2026-02-06Akins Ford Arena4.5%18.2%27.3%
2025-12-14Moody Center8.3%19.4%25.0%
2025-12-13Moody Center7.7%15.4%26.9%
2025-12-12Dickies Arena30.4%52.2%60.9%
2025-12-10BOK Center17.9%28.6%60.7%
2025-12-06KFC Yum! Center11.5%19.2%26.9%
2025-12-05KFC Yum! Center3.8%11.5%15.4%
2025-11-15Prudential Center4.2%8.3%12.5%
2025-11-14Prudential Center0.0%15.4%30.8%
2025-11-12MVP Arena8.0%20.0%32.0%
2025-11-11Blue Cross Arena14.3%21.4%35.7%
2025-11-08PPG Paints Arena7.4%11.1%25.9%