Model Recall

Historical Performance

Rolling accuracy

Umphrey's McGee performance ledger

Notebook • last 20 scored shows

Track how often the current model landed songs inside the Top 10, Top 25, and Top 50 windows. The goal here is fast read quality, not exhaustive backtest detail.

Latest scored show

Mar 19, 2026

Revolution Hall

Top 10 recall 0.0%

Avg Top 10

10.2%

Quick-hit prediction quality for the highest-confidence slice.

Avg Top 25

24.7%

Broader board coverage across the mid-ranked prediction set.

Avg Top 50

43.3%

Long-tail hit rate across the full recommendation window.

Trend

Performance Read

Recent window

6.0%

Last five scored shows

Prior window

11.1%

Previous five scored shows

Delta

-5.0 pts

Recent recall has slipped versus the prior window.

Peak recall

Best Night

Mar 13, 2026

The Guild Theatre

Top 10 recall 23.1%

Use this as the fast benchmark for the current model and band pair.

Per-show ledger

Recent Accuracy Rows

Show DateVenueTop 10Top 25Top 50
2026-03-19Revolution Hall0.0%13.3%13.3%
2026-03-17Revolution Hall7.1%28.6%57.1%
2026-03-14Harrah's Lake Tahoe South Shore Room0.0%7.1%42.9%
2026-03-13The Guild Theatre23.1%23.1%30.8%
2026-03-12The Regent Theatre0.0%21.4%42.9%
2026-03-11Belly Up Tavern14.3%28.6%42.9%
2026-03-10Belly Up Tavern7.1%21.4%28.6%
2026-02-26Spirit of the Suwannee Music Park5.6%16.7%22.2%
2026-02-159:30 Club15.0%25.0%45.0%
2026-02-149:30 Club13.3%33.3%40.0%
2026-02-13The Fillmore6.7%33.3%53.3%
2026-02-12Citizens House of Blues Boston17.6%29.4%52.9%
2026-02-11State Theatre6.3%18.8%50.0%
2026-02-07The Capitol Theatre12.5%31.3%75.0%
2026-02-06Infinity Music Hall - Hartford20.0%33.3%53.3%
2026-02-05Empire Live5.9%29.4%47.1%
2026-02-04Mayo Performing Arts Center17.6%23.5%47.1%
2026-02-01The Town Ballroom0.0%12.5%25.0%
2026-01-31The Fillmore12.5%31.3%37.5%
2026-01-30The Andrew J Brady Music Center20.0%33.3%60.0%