Model Recall

Historical Performance

Rolling accuracy

Widespread Panic performance ledger

Notebook • last 20 scored shows

Track how often the current model landed songs inside the Top 10, Top 25, and Top 50 windows. The goal here is fast read quality, not exhaustive backtest detail.

Latest scored show

Feb 15, 2026

Moody Center

Top 10 recall 20.0%

Avg Top 10

15.2%

Quick-hit prediction quality for the highest-confidence slice.

Avg Top 25

33.6%

Broader board coverage across the mid-ranked prediction set.

Avg Top 50

45.8%

Long-tail hit rate across the full recommendation window.

Trend

Performance Read

Recent window

13.1%

Last five scored shows

Prior window

14.3%

Previous five scored shows

Delta

-1.2 pts

Recent recall has slipped versus the prior window.

Peak recall

Best Night

Nov 21, 2025

Capitol Theater

Top 10 recall 28.6%

Use this as the fast benchmark for the current model and band pair.

Per-show ledger

Recent Accuracy Rows

Show DateVenueTop 10Top 25Top 50
2026-02-15Moody Center20.0%35.0%45.0%
2026-02-14Moody Center14.3%19.0%47.6%
2026-01-23Hard Rock Hotel and Casino15.0%35.0%50.0%
2026-01-22Hard Rock Hotel and Casino5.6%22.2%44.4%
2026-01-21Hard Rock Hotel and Casino10.5%15.8%26.3%
2026-01-20Hard Rock Hotel and Casino15.8%26.3%36.8%
2025-12-31Fox Theater15.4%30.8%42.3%
2025-12-30Fox Theater21.1%47.4%63.2%
2025-12-29Fox Theater4.8%14.3%38.1%
2025-11-23Capitol Theater14.3%38.1%42.9%
2025-11-22Capitol Theater22.2%27.8%33.3%
2025-11-22Capitol Theater21.1%31.6%31.6%
2025-11-21Capitol Theater28.6%57.1%71.4%
2025-11-21Capitol Theater22.7%54.5%68.2%
2025-11-01Enmarket Arena20.0%70.0%75.0%
2025-11-01Enmarket Arena25.0%55.0%60.0%
2025-10-31Enmarket Arena12.5%25.0%37.5%
2025-10-26The Riverside Theater3.6%25.0%35.7%
2025-10-26The Riverside Theater8.7%17.4%30.4%
2025-10-26The Riverside Theater3.6%25.0%35.7%