Predictions
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May 22, 2026 • Electric Brixton
Show Outlook
Heavy rotation
Top 10 Accuracy
17.9%
last 50 shows
Top 25 Accuracy
38.5%
last 50 shows
Top 50 Accuracy
Full ranking
All ranked predictions for Goose using Deal. Use the search first, then scan by tier to understand how the board is clustering tonight.
51.7%
last 50 shows
Accuracy is measured as the share of the actual setlist included in each Top-X group.
Prediction Run
May 13, 3:33 PM EDT
Tier Note
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes.
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hungersite | 16 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 94.2% |
| 2 | Big Modern! | 12 / 50 | 5 | 04/25/2026 | 89.4% |
| 3 | Thatch | 13 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 88.2% |
| 4 | Silver Rising | 12 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 88.1% |
| 5 | Hot Love & The Lazy Poet | 9 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 86.5% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dustin Hoffman | 11 / 50 | 5 | 04/25/2026 | 86.1% |
| 7 | Your Direction | 10 / 50 | 5 | 04/25/2026 | 82.7% |
| 8 | Dripfield | 9 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 81.7% |
| 9 | Tumble | 8 / 50 | 8 | 04/22/2026 | 78.8% |
| 10 | Flodown | 10 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 76.5% |
| 11 | Slow Ready | 9 / 50 | 8 | 04/22/2026 | 76.3% |
| 12 | SALT | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 75.5% |
| 13 | The Empress Of Organos | 9 / 50 | 5 | 04/25/2026 | 75.3% |
| 14 | Echo of a Rose | 9 / 50 | 3 | 05/07/2026 | 75.1% |
| 15 | Royal | 10 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 73.4% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Arrow | 8 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 72.1% |
| 17 | So Ready | 9 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 70.9% |
| 18 | Everything Must Go | 7 / 50 | 9 | 04/21/2026 | 69.1% |
| 19 | Red Bird | 7 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 68.4% |
| 20 | Draconian Meter Maid | 7 / 50 | 3 | 05/07/2026 | 68.3% |
| 21 | Pancakes | 7 / 50 | 5 | 04/25/2026 | 67.5% |
| 22 | Iguana Song | 7 / 50 | 3 | 05/07/2026 | 67.0% |
| 23 | Into the Myst | 6 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 62.5% |
| 24 | Madalena | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 61.6% |
| 25 | Feel It Now | 6 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 59.8% |
| 26 | Wysteria Lane | 6 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 58.7% |
| 27 | Turbulence & The Night Rays | 4 / 50 | 14 | 04/14/2026 | 57.9% |
| 28 | Turned Clouds | 4 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 57.7% |
| 29 | Same Old Shenanigans | 6 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 57.6% |
| 30 | Mr. Action | 4 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 54.3% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Seekers on the Ridge pt I | 4 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 53.4% |
| 32 | Seekers on the Ridge pt II | 4 / 50 | 6 | 04/24/2026 | 53.4% |
| 33 | Dr. Darkness | 5 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 52.1% |
| 34 | How It Ends | 4 / 50 | 14 | 04/14/2026 | 52.1% |
| 35 | Jive I | 4 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 51.9% |
| 36 | Lead Up | 3 / 50 | 5 | 04/25/2026 | 51.5% |
| 37 | Butter Rum | 4 / 50 | 3 | 05/07/2026 | 47.0% |
| 38 | Don’t Leave Me This Way | 4 / 50 | 18 | 03/28/2026 | 46.7% |
| 39 | Jive Lee | 3 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 45.5% |
| 40 | Shama Lama Ding Dong | 6 / 50 | 7 | 04/23/2026 | 45.1% |
| 41 | You Spin Me Round (Like A Record) | 3 / 50 | 24 | 10/04/2025 | 44.7% |
| 42 | Rosewood Heart | 3 / 50 | 9 | 04/21/2026 | 44.2% |
| 43 | Jive II | 3 / 50 | 9 | 04/21/2026 | 43.3% |
| 44 | Interlude II | 3 / 50 | 4 | 05/07/2026 | 42.8% |
| 45 | Indian River | 1 / 50 | 26 | 10/02/2025 | 42.3% |
| 46 | Bob Don | 2 / 50 | 11 | 04/18/2026 | 41.9% |
| 47 | The Whales | 2 / 50 | 16 | 04/11/2026 | 41.2% |
| 48 | One In, One Out | 1 / 50 | 17 | 04/10/2026 | 41.0% |
| 49 | Don't Do It | 4 / 50 | 17 | 04/10/2026 | 40.4% |
| 50 | fast:slow | 2 / 50 | 22 | 11/02/2025 | 40.0% |
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes