Predictions
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July 7, 2026 • Kohl Center
Show Outlook
Heavy rotation
Top 10 Accuracy
14.2%
last 50 shows
Top 25 Accuracy
30.5%
last 50 shows
Top 50 Accuracy
Full ranking
All ranked predictions for Phish using Deal. Use the search first, then scan by tier to understand how the board is clustering tonight.
50.0%
last 50 shows
Accuracy is measured as the share of the actual setlist included in each Top-X group.
Prediction Run
May 13, 3:35 PM EDT
Tier Note
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes.
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hood | 11 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 94.0% |
| 2 | Chalk Dust Torture | 9 / 50 | 3 | 04/25/2026 | 91.8% |
| 3 | Ghost | 9 / 50 | 3 | 04/25/2026 | 88.8% |
| 4 | Weekapaug Groove | 9 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 88.5% |
| 5 | First Tube | 9 / 50 | 3 | 04/25/2026 | 88.4% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mike's Song | 9 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 88.3% |
| 7 | Wolfman's Brother | 9 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 88.1% |
| 8 | Everything's Right | 9 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 87.9% |
| 9 | Also Sprach Zarathustra | 10 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 87.8% |
| 10 | Possum | 8 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 87.7% |
| 11 | Down with Disease | 8 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 87.4% |
| 12 | Carini | 9 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 87.2% |
| 13 | Tweezer | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 87.1% |
| 14 | Bathtub Gin | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 86.9% |
| 15 | Tweezer Reprise | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 86.8% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Light | 8 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 86.3% |
| 17 | What's Going Through Your Mind | 9 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 86.1% |
| 18 | Run Like an Antelope | 7 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 86.0% |
| 19 | Life Saving Gun | 9 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 86.0% |
| 20 | Twist | 9 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 85.7% |
| 21 | Stash | 8 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 84.7% |
| 22 | Theme from the Bottom | 8 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 84.4% |
| 23 | Reba | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 84.3% |
| 24 | Blaze On | 8 / 50 | 3 | 04/25/2026 | 83.9% |
| 25 | Free | 8 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 83.4% |
| 26 | 46 Days | 7 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 83.3% |
| 27 | The Moma Dance | 8 / 50 | 3 | 04/25/2026 | 83.2% |
| 28 | You Enjoy Myself | 8 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 82.3% |
| 29 | AC/DC Bag | 7 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 81.9% |
| 30 | Evolve | 7 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 81.8% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | No Men In No Man's Land | 7 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 81.8% |
| 32 | Slave to the Traffic Light | 8 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 81.5% |
| 33 | Oblivion | 8 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 81.4% |
| 34 | Piper | 6 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 80.2% |
| 35 | Backwards Down the Number Line | 6 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 79.9% |
| 36 | Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. | 8 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 79.7% |
| 37 | Golden Age | 7 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 79.0% |
| 38 | Split Open and Melt | 6 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 77.8% |
| 39 | Fuego | 8 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 77.7% |
| 40 | Sigma Oasis | 6 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 76.8% |
| 41 | Rift | 6 / 50 | 8 | 04/16/2026 | 76.2% |
| 42 | Divided Sky | 6 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 75.4% |
| 43 | Hey Stranger | 8 / 50 | 7 | 04/17/2026 | 74.6% |
| 44 | Tube | 6 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 74.4% |
| 45 | Monsters | 6 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 72.5% |
| 46 | Roggae | 6 / 50 | 4 | 04/24/2026 | 72.4% |
| 47 | More | 6 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 70.0% |
| 48 | Cavern | 5 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 69.2% |
| 49 | Simple | 5 / 50 | 6 | 04/18/2026 | 69.1% |
| 50 | Maze | 4 / 50 | 5 | 04/23/2026 | 68.2% |
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes