Predictions
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May 22, 2026 • Pisgah Brewing Company
Show Outlook
Heavy rotation
Top 10 Accuracy
11.6%
last 50 shows
Top 25 Accuracy
24.9%
last 50 shows
Top 50 Accuracy
Full ranking
All ranked predictions for Umphrey's McGee using Deal. Use the search first, then scan by tier to understand how the board is clustering tonight.
42.9%
last 50 shows
Accuracy is measured as the share of the actual setlist included in each Top-X group.
Prediction Run
May 13, 3:35 PM EDT
Tier Note
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes.
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Staircase | 10 / 50 | 8 | 04/17/2026 | 88.1% |
| 2 | The Triple Wide | 8 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 84.1% |
| 3 | 1348 | 10 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 83.0% |
| 4 | Slacker | 10 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 81.8% |
| 5 | In The Kitchen | 6 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 80.7% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2nd Self | 10 / 50 | 8 | 04/17/2026 | 79.7% |
| 7 | Hurt Bird Bath | 6 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 78.9% |
| 8 | Out of Focus | 10 / 50 | 8 | 04/17/2026 | 77.7% |
| 9 | The Linear | 6 / 50 | 8 | 04/17/2026 | 75.5% |
| 10 | August | 10 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 74.6% |
| 11 | Push the Pig | 6 / 50 | 8 | 04/17/2026 | 74.1% |
| 12 | Concessions | 6 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 74.0% |
| 13 | Escape Goat | 8 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 74.0% |
| 14 | Half Delayed | 8 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 73.6% |
| 15 | Der Bluten Kat | 8 / 50 | 14 | 03/27/2026 | 72.7% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nothing Too Fancy | 0 / 50 | 54 | 02/05/2026 | 72.5% |
| 17 | It Doesn't Matter | 6 / 50 | 16 | 03/26/2026 | 70.3% |
| 18 | Much Obliged | 6 / 50 | 16 | 03/26/2026 | 70.1% |
| 19 | Hajimemashite | 10 / 50 | 6 | 04/30/2026 | 69.9% |
| 20 | Remind Me | 6 / 50 | 16 | 03/26/2026 | 69.8% |
| 21 | Similar Skin | 8 / 50 | 8 | 04/17/2026 | 69.3% |
| 22 | Higgins | 2 / 50 | 42 | 02/14/2026 | 67.8% |
| 23 | Wide Open | 4 / 50 | 14 | 03/27/2026 | 67.5% |
| 24 | Cut the Cable | 8 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 67.5% |
| 25 | Booth Love | 0 / 50 | 52 | 02/06/2026 | 66.7% |
| 26 | Andy's Last Beer | 6 / 50 | 16 | 03/26/2026 | 66.1% |
| 27 | 40's Theme | 2 / 50 | 40 | 02/15/2026 | 66.0% |
| 28 | Plunger | 2 / 50 | 42 | 02/14/2026 | 65.9% |
| 29 | Draconian | 6 / 50 | 4 | 05/01/2026 | 65.5% |
| 30 | Cemetery Walk | 4 / 50 | 14 | 03/27/2026 | 65.3% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bridgeless | 2 / 50 | 44 | 02/13/2026 | 65.0% |
| 32 | Seasons | 4 / 50 | 18 | 03/25/2026 | 63.6% |
| 33 | Hangover | 4 / 50 | 18 | 03/25/2026 | 63.4% |
| 34 | Nemo | 6 / 50 | 6 | 04/30/2026 | 63.1% |
| 35 | Believe the Lie | 0 / 50 | 50 | 02/07/2026 | 62.9% |
| 36 | Mulche's Odyssey | 2 / 50 | 44 | 02/13/2026 | 62.6% |
| 37 | Ringo | 2 / 50 | 42 | 02/14/2026 | 62.5% |
| 38 | Cemetery Walk II | 4 / 50 | 14 | 03/27/2026 | 61.7% |
| 39 | I Don't Know What I Want | 4 / 50 | 10 | 03/29/2026 | 61.2% |
| 40 | Pay the Snucka | 0 / 50 | 54 | 02/05/2026 | 61.2% |
| 41 | Made to Measure | 6 / 50 | 18 | 03/25/2026 | 61.0% |
| 42 | Glory | 2 / 50 | 40 | 02/15/2026 | 60.8% |
| 43 | Domino Theory | 4 / 50 | 20 | 03/21/2026 | 60.6% |
| 44 | Suxity | 6 / 50 | 10 | 03/29/2026 | 60.5% |
| 45 | Exit Signs | 4 / 50 | 16 | 03/26/2026 | 60.0% |
| 46 | The Bottom Half | 0 / 50 | 58 | 02/01/2026 | 58.4% |
| 47 | Syncopated Strangers | 2 / 50 | 48 | 02/11/2026 | 58.4% |
| 48 | Utopian Fir | 0 / 50 | 54 | 02/05/2026 | 57.9% |
| 49 | Jack Straw | 4 / 50 | 34 | 03/11/2026 | 57.8% |
| 50 | Santeria | 4 / 50 | 6 | 04/30/2026 | 57.1% |
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes