Predictions
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May 22, 2026 • Pisgah Brewing Company
Show Outlook
Bust-out potential
Top 10 Accuracy
10.6%
last 50 shows
Top 25 Accuracy
23.1%
last 50 shows
Top 50 Accuracy
Full ranking
All ranked predictions for Umphrey's McGee using Notebook. Use the search first, then scan by tier to understand how the board is clustering tonight.
41.8%
last 50 shows
Accuracy is measured as the share of the actual setlist included in each Top-X group.
Prediction Run
May 13, 3:33 PM EDT
Tier Note
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes.
| Rank | Song | Plays Last Year | Current Gap | Last Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Staircase | 30 | 8 | 04/17/2026 |
| 2 | In The Kitchen | 30 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 3 | The Triple Wide | 30 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 4 | Out of Focus | 28 | 8 | 04/17/2026 |
| 5 | The Linear | 28 | 8 | 04/17/2026 |
Staircase
8 shows ago · 30 plays last year · 04/17/2026
In The Kitchen
4 shows ago · 30 plays last year · 05/01/2026
The Triple Wide
4 shows ago · 30 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Out of Focus
8 shows ago · 28 plays last year · 04/17/2026
The Linear
8 shows ago · 28 plays last year · 04/17/2026
| Rank | Song | Plays Last Year | Current Gap | Last Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1348 | 28 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 7 | Slacker | 28 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 8 | Bridgeless | 26 | 44 | 02/13/2026 |
| 9 | 40's Theme | 26 | 40 | 02/15/2026 |
| 10 | August | 26 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 11 | Cut the Cable | 26 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 12 | Hurt Bird Bath | 26 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 13 | Plunger | 24 | 42 | 02/14/2026 |
| 14 | Cemetery Walk II | 24 | 14 | 03/27/2026 |
| 15 | 2nd Self | 24 | 8 | 04/17/2026 |
1348
4 shows ago · 28 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Slacker
4 shows ago · 28 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Bridgeless
44 shows ago · 26 plays last year · 02/13/2026
40's Theme
40 shows ago · 26 plays last year · 02/15/2026
August
4 shows ago · 26 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Cut the Cable
4 shows ago · 26 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Hurt Bird Bath
4 shows ago · 26 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Plunger
42 shows ago · 24 plays last year · 02/14/2026
Cemetery Walk II
14 shows ago · 24 plays last year · 03/27/2026
2nd Self
8 shows ago · 24 plays last year · 04/17/2026
| Rank | Song | Plays Last Year | Current Gap | Last Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Escape Goat | 24 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 17 | Andy's Last Beer | 22 | 16 | 03/26/2026 |
| 18 | Cemetery Walk | 22 | 14 | 03/27/2026 |
| 19 | Der Bluten Kat | 22 | 14 | 03/27/2026 |
| 20 | Hajimemashite | 22 | 6 | 04/30/2026 |
| 21 | Got Your Milk (Right Here) | 20 | 52 | 02/06/2026 |
| 22 | Mulche's Odyssey | 20 | 44 | 02/13/2026 |
| 23 | Glory | 20 | 40 | 02/15/2026 |
| 24 | Remind Me | 20 | 16 | 03/26/2026 |
| 25 | Nothing Too Fancy | 18 | 54 | 02/05/2026 |
| 26 | Booth Love | 18 | 52 | 02/06/2026 |
| 27 | Believe the Lie | 18 | 50 | 02/07/2026 |
| 28 | Women Wine and Song | 18 | 46 | 02/12/2026 |
| 29 | Mantis | 18 | 44 | 02/13/2026 |
| 30 | Preamble | 18 | 44 | 02/13/2026 |
Escape Goat
4 shows ago · 24 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Andy's Last Beer
16 shows ago · 22 plays last year · 03/26/2026
Cemetery Walk
14 shows ago · 22 plays last year · 03/27/2026
Der Bluten Kat
14 shows ago · 22 plays last year · 03/27/2026
Hajimemashite
6 shows ago · 22 plays last year · 04/30/2026
Got Your Milk (Right Here)
52 shows ago · 20 plays last year · 02/06/2026
Mulche's Odyssey
44 shows ago · 20 plays last year · 02/13/2026
Glory
40 shows ago · 20 plays last year · 02/15/2026
Remind Me
16 shows ago · 20 plays last year · 03/26/2026
Nothing Too Fancy
54 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/05/2026
Booth Love
52 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/06/2026
Believe the Lie
50 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/07/2026
Women Wine and Song
46 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/12/2026
Mantis
44 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/13/2026
Preamble
44 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/13/2026
| Rank | Song | Plays Last Year | Current Gap | Last Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Higgins | 18 | 42 | 02/14/2026 |
| 32 | Ringo | 18 | 42 | 02/14/2026 |
| 33 | Divisions | 18 | 14 | 03/27/2026 |
| 34 | Wide Open | 18 | 14 | 03/27/2026 |
| 35 | Push the Pig | 18 | 8 | 04/17/2026 |
| 36 | Concessions | 18 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 37 | Uncommon | 16 | 18 | 03/25/2026 |
| 38 | Much Obliged | 16 | 16 | 03/26/2026 |
| 39 | Nemo | 16 | 6 | 04/30/2026 |
| 40 | The Bottom Half | 14 | 58 | 02/01/2026 |
| 41 | Intentions Clear | 14 | 56 | 02/04/2026 |
| 42 | Partyin' Peeps | 14 | 56 | 02/04/2026 |
| 43 | Night Nurse | 14 | 34 | 03/11/2026 |
| 44 | Piranhas | 14 | 20 | 03/21/2026 |
| 45 | Hangover | 14 | 18 | 03/25/2026 |
| 46 | Similar Skin | 14 | 8 | 04/17/2026 |
| 47 | Draconian | 14 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 48 | Half Delayed | 14 | 4 | 05/01/2026 |
| 49 | Utopian Fir | 12 | 54 | 02/05/2026 |
| 50 | Wizard Burial Ground | 12 | 52 | 02/06/2026 |
Higgins
42 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/14/2026
Ringo
42 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 02/14/2026
Divisions
14 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 03/27/2026
Wide Open
14 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 03/27/2026
Push the Pig
8 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 04/17/2026
Concessions
4 shows ago · 18 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Uncommon
18 shows ago · 16 plays last year · 03/25/2026
Much Obliged
16 shows ago · 16 plays last year · 03/26/2026
Nemo
6 shows ago · 16 plays last year · 04/30/2026
The Bottom Half
58 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 02/01/2026
Intentions Clear
56 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 02/04/2026
Partyin' Peeps
56 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 02/04/2026
Night Nurse
34 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 03/11/2026
Piranhas
20 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 03/21/2026
Hangover
18 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 03/25/2026
Similar Skin
8 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 04/17/2026
Draconian
4 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Half Delayed
4 shows ago · 14 plays last year · 05/01/2026
Utopian Fir
54 shows ago · 12 plays last year · 02/05/2026
Wizard Burial Ground
52 shows ago · 12 plays last year · 02/06/2026
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes