Predictions
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June 13, 2026 • Merriweather Post Pavilion
Show Outlook
Heavy rotation
Top 10 Accuracy
17.8%
last 50 shows
Top 25 Accuracy
34.4%
last 50 shows
Top 50 Accuracy
Full ranking
All ranked predictions for Widespread Panic using Deal. Use the search first, then scan by tier to understand how the board is clustering tonight.
51.1%
last 50 shows
Accuracy is measured as the share of the actual setlist included in each Top-X group.
Prediction Run
May 13, 3:47 PM EDT
Tier Note
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes.
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Baby | 14 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 94.0% |
| 2 | Porch Song | 13 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 93.5% |
| 3 | Pigeons | 13 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 92.1% |
| 4 | Ain't Life Grand | 13 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 91.7% |
| 5 | Surprise Valley | 12 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 90.0% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fishwater | 10 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 88.1% |
| 7 | Bust It Big | 12 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 86.9% |
| 8 | Chilly Water | 10 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 86.8% |
| 9 | Henry Parsons Died | 10 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 86.5% |
| 10 | Greta | 11 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 86.2% |
| 11 | Saint Ex | 11 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 85.1% |
| 12 | Disco | 10 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 84.0% |
| 13 | Diner | 10 / 50 | 5 | 04/17/2026 | 83.4% |
| 14 | Walkin' (For Your Love) | 8 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 83.3% |
| 15 | Tie Your Shoes | 11 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 83.2% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halloween Face | 10 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 80.9% |
| 17 | Blight | 9 / 50 | 5 | 04/17/2026 | 79.6% |
| 18 | Travelin' Light | 8 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 78.2% |
| 19 | Papa's Home | 7 / 50 | 10 | 02/14/2026 | 76.9% |
| 20 | I'm Not Alone | 8 / 50 | 7 | 03/21/2026 | 76.5% |
| 21 | Hatfield | 8 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 76.3% |
| 22 | Big Wooly Mammoth | 9 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 75.4% |
| 23 | One Arm Steve | 8 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 73.9% |
| 24 | Conrad | 7 / 50 | 6 | 03/22/2026 | 73.3% |
| 25 | Second Skin | 8 / 50 | 7 | 03/21/2026 | 73.2% |
| 26 | Thought Sausage | 7 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 71.5% |
| 27 | Action Man | 7 / 50 | 7 | 03/21/2026 | 70.1% |
| 28 | Airplane | 6 / 50 | 9 | 02/15/2026 | 66.8% |
| 29 | C. Brown | 5 / 50 | 5 | 04/17/2026 | 65.9% |
| 30 | Mr. Soul | 6 / 50 | 5 | 04/17/2026 | 63.9% |
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Imitation Leather Shoes | 6 / 50 | 8 | 03/20/2026 | 63.6% |
| 32 | Pickin' Up The Pieces | 6 / 50 | 11 | 01/23/2026 | 62.4% |
| 33 | Bowlegged Woman | 6 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 61.6% |
| 34 | This Part Of Town | 6 / 50 | 10 | 02/14/2026 | 60.2% |
| 35 | Goin' Out West | 5 / 50 | 8 | 03/20/2026 | 60.2% |
| 36 | Down | 6 / 50 | 5 | 04/17/2026 | 60.1% |
| 37 | Mercy | 5 / 50 | 8 | 03/20/2026 | 60.1% |
| 38 | Tackle Box Hero | 5 / 50 | 6 | 03/22/2026 | 59.6% |
| 39 | Impossible | 4 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 59.3% |
| 40 | North | 5 / 50 | 10 | 02/14/2026 | 57.5% |
| 41 | Radio Child | 4 / 50 | 5 | 04/17/2026 | 57.5% |
| 42 | Small Town | 6 / 50 | 23 | 10/26/2025 | 57.3% |
| 43 | The Last Straw | 5 / 50 | 12 | 01/22/2026 | 56.3% |
| 44 | Cosmic Confidante | 6 / 50 | 18 | 11/23/2025 | 56.3% |
| 45 | Shut Up And Drive | 5 / 50 | 4 | 04/18/2026 | 56.2% |
| 46 | Better Off | 4 / 50 | 7 | 03/21/2026 | 54.4% |
| 47 | Arleen | 5 / 50 | 3 | 04/30/2026 | 51.9% |
| 48 | Can't Get High | 2 / 50 | 6 | 03/22/2026 | 50.1% |
| 49 | Fishing | 5 / 50 | 6 | 03/22/2026 | 49.6% |
| 50 | Proving Ground | 3 / 50 | 10 | 02/14/2026 | 49.4% |
Tiers reflect relative model signal, not guaranteed outcomes