Review a retained prediction board against the actual setlist for a completed show.
Venue
Merriweather Post Pavilion
Location
Columbia, MD
Songs played
20
Set 1
10 songsTop 10
Hits
4
picks played
Coverage
21.1%
setlist caught
Top 25
Hits
11
picks played
Coverage
57.9%
setlist caught
Top 50
Hits
15
picks played
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ain't Life Grand | 13 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 54.0% | |
| 2 | Surprise Valley | 12 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 53.6% | |
| 3 | King Baby | 14 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 53.3% | |
| 4 | Saint Ex | 11 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 53.2% | |
| 5 | Halloween Face | 10 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 53.1% | |
| 6 | Pigeons | 13 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 53.0% | |
| 7 | Porch Song | 13 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 53.0% | |
| 8 | Chilly Water | 10 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 52.8% | |
| 9 | Diner | 10 / 50 | 6 | 04/17/2026 | 52.7% | |
| 10 | Big Wooly Mammoth | 9 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 52.7% |
Ain't Life Grand
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 13 / 50
Surprise Valley
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 12 / 50
King Baby
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 14 / 50
Saint Ex
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 11 / 50
Halloween Face
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 10 / 50
Pigeons
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 13 / 50
Porch Song
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 13 / 50
Chilly Water
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 10 / 50
Diner
Gap 6 · LTP 04/17/2026 · 10 / 50
Big Wooly Mammoth
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 9 / 50
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Henry Parsons Died | 10 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 52.6% | |
| 12 | Disco | 10 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 52.6% | |
| 13 | Bust It Big | 12 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 52.6% | |
| 14 | Greta | 11 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 52.6% | |
| 15 | Tie Your Shoes | 11 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 52.5% | |
| 16 | Blight | 9 / 50 | 6 | 04/17/2026 | 52.4% | |
| 17 | I'm Not Alone | 8 / 50 | 8 | 03/21/2026 | 52.1% | |
| 18 | Walkin' (For Your Love) | 8 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 52.1% | |
| 19 | Second Skin | 8 / 50 | 8 | 03/21/2026 | 52.0% | |
| 20 | Papa's Home | 7 / 50 | 11 | 02/14/2026 | 51.9% | |
| 21 | Action Man | 7 / 50 | 8 | 03/21/2026 | 51.8% | |
| 22 | Fishwater | 10 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 51.6% | |
| 23 | We Walk Each Other Home | 12 / 50 | 3 | 05/08/2026 | 51.6% | |
| 24 | Hatfield | 8 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 51.5% | |
| 25 | Little By Little | 18 / 50 | 2 | 05/09/2026 | 51.3% |
Henry Parsons Died
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 10 / 50
Disco
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 10 / 50
Bust It Big
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 12 / 50
Greta
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 11 / 50
Tie Your Shoes
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 11 / 50
Blight
Gap 6 · LTP 04/17/2026 · 9 / 50
I'm Not Alone
Gap 8 · LTP 03/21/2026 · 8 / 50
Walkin' (For Your Love)
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 8 / 50
Second Skin
Gap 8 · LTP 03/21/2026 · 8 / 50
Papa's Home
Gap 11 · LTP 02/14/2026 · 7 / 50
Action Man
Gap 8 · LTP 03/21/2026 · 7 / 50
Fishwater
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 10 / 50
We Walk Each Other Home
Gap 3 · LTP 05/08/2026 · 12 / 50
Hatfield
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 8 / 50
Little By Little
Gap 2 · LTP 05/09/2026 · 18 / 50
| Rank | Song | Recent Plays | Current Gap | Last Played | Probability | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blue Indian | 12 / 50 | 3 | 05/08/2026 | 51.1% | |
| 27 | Holden Oversoul | 11 / 50 | 3 | 05/08/2026 | 51.1% | |
| 28 | Rebirtha | 10 / 50 | 3 | 05/08/2026 | 51.1% | |
| 29 | Tackle Box Hero | 5 / 50 | 7 | 03/22/2026 | 51.0% | |
| 30 | Conrad | 7 / 50 | 7 | 03/22/2026 | 51.0% | |
| 31 | Airplane | 6 / 50 | 10 | 02/15/2026 | 50.9% | |
| 32 | Jam | 3 / 50 | 25 | 10/25/2025 | 50.8% | |
| 33 | C. Brown | 5 / 50 | 6 | 04/17/2026 | 50.7% | |
| 34 | Shut Up And Drive | 5 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 50.7% | |
| 35 | Goin' Out West | 5 / 50 | 9 | 03/20/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 36 | This Part Of Town | 6 / 50 | 11 | 02/14/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 37 | Imitation Leather Shoes | 6 / 50 | 9 | 03/20/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 38 | Down | 6 / 50 | 6 | 04/17/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 39 | North | 5 / 50 | 11 | 02/14/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 40 | Mr. Soul | 6 / 50 | 6 | 04/17/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 41 | Bowlegged Woman | 6 / 50 | 5 | 04/18/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 42 | One Arm Steve | 8 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 43 | Space Wrangler | 10 / 50 | 3 | 05/08/2026 | 50.5% | |
| 44 | Radio Child | 4 / 50 | 6 | 04/17/2026 | 50.4% | |
| 45 | Better Off | 4 / 50 | 8 | 03/21/2026 | 50.4% | |
| 46 | Fishing | 5 / 50 | 7 | 03/22/2026 | 50.4% | |
| 47 | Thought Sausage | 7 / 50 | 4 | 04/30/2026 | 50.4% | |
| 48 | Goodpeople | 11 / 50 | 3 | 05/08/2026 | 50.4% | |
| 49 | Life During Wartime | 4 / 50 | 7 | 03/22/2026 | 50.3% | |
| 50 | Pickin' Up The Pieces | 6 / 50 | 12 | 01/23/2026 | 50.3% |
Blue Indian
Gap 3 · LTP 05/08/2026 · 12 / 50
Holden Oversoul
Gap 3 · LTP 05/08/2026 · 11 / 50
Rebirtha
Gap 3 · LTP 05/08/2026 · 10 / 50
Tackle Box Hero
Gap 7 · LTP 03/22/2026 · 5 / 50
Conrad
Gap 7 · LTP 03/22/2026 · 7 / 50
Airplane
Gap 10 · LTP 02/15/2026 · 6 / 50
Jam
Gap 25 · LTP 10/25/2025 · 3 / 50
C. Brown
Gap 6 · LTP 04/17/2026 · 5 / 50
Shut Up And Drive
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 5 / 50
Goin' Out West
Gap 9 · LTP 03/20/2026 · 5 / 50
This Part Of Town
Gap 11 · LTP 02/14/2026 · 6 / 50
Imitation Leather Shoes
Gap 9 · LTP 03/20/2026 · 6 / 50
Down
Gap 6 · LTP 04/17/2026 · 6 / 50
North
Gap 11 · LTP 02/14/2026 · 5 / 50
Mr. Soul
Gap 6 · LTP 04/17/2026 · 6 / 50
Bowlegged Woman
Gap 5 · LTP 04/18/2026 · 6 / 50
One Arm Steve
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 8 / 50
Space Wrangler
Gap 3 · LTP 05/08/2026 · 10 / 50
Radio Child
Gap 6 · LTP 04/17/2026 · 4 / 50
Better Off
Gap 8 · LTP 03/21/2026 · 4 / 50
Fishing
Gap 7 · LTP 03/22/2026 · 5 / 50
Thought Sausage
Gap 4 · LTP 04/30/2026 · 7 / 50
Goodpeople
Gap 3 · LTP 05/08/2026 · 11 / 50
Life During Wartime
Gap 7 · LTP 03/22/2026 · 4 / 50
Pickin' Up The Pieces
Gap 12 · LTP 01/23/2026 · 6 / 50
Groups reflect model rank: Prime 1-10 · Likely 11-25 · Possible 26-50
Set 2
8 songsSet —
2 songsCoverage
78.9%
setlist caught